Clearly, the final version will be determined after analyzing the black boxes. However, the initial versions are well-grounded and based on facts. The facts are that the Azerbaijani civilian plane was damaged externally over Russian territory near Grozny,

Mobile phone footage circulating online appeared to show the aircraft making a steep descent before smashing into the ground in a fireball. Some of the videos posted on social media showed survivors dragging fellow passengers away from the wreckage.

On December 25, an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane flying from Baku to Grozny crashed near Aktau. Several Azerbaijani media outlets put forward their own versions of the causes of the tragedy.